Trendinvestor Evolution - Phase Three
I had now been able to avoid the bear market rallies, and the particularly large rally that signifies the trend change at the bottom of a bear market. Throughout the whole period of the bear market, i was able to sit in Cash/Gold and ride this out. This also means that i could actually sleep at night.
So how can i minimise the largest Bull market corrections, and the correction that eventually morphs into the new bear market every 7 to 10 years?
Because if i could do this, i felt that i had a near perfect system.
After a substantial amount of research, i came to the conclusion that all i could really stop was the very fast market corrections that we had seen in 1998 with the LTCM crisis, and the sharp correction against the major primary trend in the last quarter of 2018. I was able to do this as a response to the large final quarter loss of 2018. It worked quite well with the very fast COVID led decline in March 2020.
I now have a system that identifies the major primary trends leading to us making substantial money using limited leverage as the market remains within a Bull market. It also enables to identify Bear markets which we used to short, but now instead move to cash, and it allows us to move to cash during the very fast but significant declines that happened in 1998, 2018 and 2020 this worked in 2020.
I am actually very happy, and very proud with the Trendinvestor System as it stands 27 years after inception. It has been a lot of work, but always very satisfying, to get to this stage.